GTA 6 release in 2024 is 'likely' says Jefferies analyst

A major release from Rockstar Games in 2024 is likely, says Jefferies market analyst Andrew Uerkwitz, but when will GTA 6 launch?

Published Tue, Mar 15 2022 4:42 PM CDT   |   Updated Tue, Apr 12 2022 2:02 AM CDT

Two leading video game market analysts predict GTA 6 could release in 2024, but they disagree on exactly when.

GTA 6 release in 2024 is 'likely' says Jefferies analyst 6 |

A bit ago I predicted GTA 6 could launch in Take-Two's FY24, which ends in March 2024. Since then that prediction has been carried by analysts based on a substantial spike in net bookings for the period. A new SEC filing shows that both FY24 and FY25 will be big years for Take-Two with an estimated $5.2 billion and $5.5 billion in respective net bookings.

GTA 6 release in 2024 is 'likely' says Jefferies analyst 62 |

This suggests that GTA 6 could launch in either FY24 or FY25. Both of these include the 2024 calendar year. Jefferies analyst Andrew Uerkwitz believes that a major Rockstar title should launch throughout 2024: "Despite a significant multi-year content unlock that likely includes a major content release from Rockstar in 2024, Take-Two will still grow in FY25," Uerkwitz wrote.

A late 2024 release would line up with reports from Rockstar Mag's Chris Klippel, who says the game may launch in holiday 2024.

Meanwhile, Cowen senior research analyst Doug Creutz still believes GTA 6 would launch in FY24. Creutz tells Axios' Stephen Totilo that today's S-4 report makes him "even more convinced" of a FY24 release.

Rockstar Games has officially confirmed development of GTA 6 is "well under way".

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Derek joined the TweakTown team in 2015 and has since reviewed and played 1000s of hours of new games. Derek is absorbed with the intersection of technology and gaming, and is always looking forward to new advancements. With over six years in games journalism under his belt, Derek aims to further engage the gaming sector while taking a peek under the tech that powers it. He hopes to one day explore the stars in No Man's Sky with the magic of VR.

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