PlayStation 5 to sell 6 million units at launch, analyst predicts

Japanese games analyst Hideki Yasuda sees the PS5 selling less than the PS4's launch in 2013.

12 minutes & 25 seconds read time

The PlayStation 5 will sell roughly 1.5 million less units than the PlayStation 4 at launch, Ace Securities analyst Hideki Yasuda predicts.

PlayStation 5 to sell 6 million units at launch, analyst predicts 9

Ace Securities just published a letter to investors outlining PlayStation 5 hardware sales forecast from launch up until March 31, 2021. The firm expects the PS5 will sell 6 million units in that period, as opposed to the 7.5 million PS4s Sony sold at launch, representing a 20% decline.

This number is actually pretty high considering the relatively higher cost of the console's expected retail pricing (Sony is spending about $450 to make every PS5) and the availability of lower-cost PS4s on the next-gen system's launch.

"For the PS5, the forecast for the first year is 6 million units and the next year is 15 million units. The supply and demand of DRAM is expected to be tight, but there are no major problems at this time. However, with the sluggish sales of the PS4 becoming apparent, we expect that expectations for the PS5 will increase further in the future," the analyst said.

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The 15 million jump in FY2021 is more or less in line with the PlayStation 4's past performance, which spiked to 14.8 million consoles sold in its second year of availability. It's worth mentioning the PS4 didn't hit its peak until its fourth year on the market where it surged to 20 million unit sales.

Sony has apparently locked in the orders and pricing for all of the PlayStation 5's components, so the surge in NAND demand may not affect Sony's bottom line sales cut.

The console will release in Holiday 2020, and it may cost $499.

Check below for more info on everything we know about the PlayStation 5 so far:

PlayStation 5 specs and details:

  • Custom SoC with second-gen Navi GPU, Zen 2 CPU
  • 8-Core, 16-thread Zen 2 CPU at 3.2GHz
  • Navi GPU at 2.0GHz with 36 Compute Units
  • Navi, Zen SoC uses new AMD RDNA 2.0 architecture
  • Ultra-fast SSD
  • Support for 4K 120 Hz TVs
  • Ray-tracing enabled
  • 8K output support (for gaming)
  • Plays all PS4 games
  • Separate games that ship on BD-XL Blu-ray discs
  • New controller with extensive haptic and tactile feedback

PlayStation 5 Coverage:

Derek joined the TweakTown team in 2015 and has since reviewed and played 1000s of hours of new games. Derek is absorbed with the intersection of technology and gaming, and is always looking forward to new advancements. With over six years in games journalism under his belt, Derek aims to further engage the gaming sector while taking a peek under the tech that powers it. He hopes to one day explore the stars in No Man's Sky with the magic of VR.

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