Surprising nobody, Sony is indeed making the next PlayStation console...but when will it come out? Analysts and experts all have different theories, but the most recent prediction is 2020.
According to The NPD Group analyst Mat Piscatella, Sony should launch its next-gen PlayStation system sometime in 2020, giving the PS4 a substantial 6-year plus lifecycle. "2020 is what I have in my forecast. The data suggest there's no need to do it earlier. But I've been surprised before so I'm as interested in this as anyone," NPD Group analyst Mat Piscatella told Gamingbolt.
Despite the recent executive shake-up with current Sony President Kazuo Hirai leaving the position in March 2018, the company should announce its next mid-year plan at the end of its Fiscal Year 2017 timeline. This plan typically outlines the next few years of its business sectors, including the massively lucrative PlayStation brand, so based on the figures and quotes we may get some big hints on the new console's release.
Other analysts have predicted Sony could make a new PlayStation as soon as this year.
Macquarie Capital analyst Damien Thong predicts Sony will release a new PlayStation model by 2018, which would align the console with the FY2018 timeline. I've recently highlighted why going with a full next-gen reset would cause Sony lots of problems, and why keeping the iterative cycle may be in its best interest.
IDC analyst Lewis Ward predicts the new Xbox and PlayStation models could arrive in 2021, giving the current systems a longer tail. "Right now I think PS5 and the next-gen Xbox will arrive in 2021, but that's really just a tentative placeholder in my forecast," Ward told GamingBolt in December.
Ubisoft of all companies even threw its hat into the prediction ring. Back in November the French games-maker believes a new console gen could release in two years, putting a potential PS5 or Xbox (Two?) release for 2019.
"We think we have about 2 years before something else is coming," Ubisoft CEO Yves Guillemot said during a financial Q&A session last year.
But what about the technology? How soon each console comes out depends on the available tech that can be harnessed, scaled, and customized to fit all the different needs a system requires.
Anonymous sources told TweakTown's Anthony Garreffa that the new PlayStation 5 will rock a full discrete GPU, not an APU like the current consoles on the market.